SUI Price Prediction: Oversold Bounce Targets $1.10 by March 2026

James Ding   Feb 11, 2026 19:47  UTC 11:47

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SUI Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $0.95-$1.00 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.10-$1.20 range
• Bullish breakout level: $1.21 (EMA 26 resistance) • Critical support: $0.85-$0.87

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Sui

While specific analyst predictions are limited, on-chain metrics suggest Sui is experiencing significant selling pressure. According to available market data, CoinCodex noted in early January that "Sui Crypto is currently trading 32.11% above our prediction," though current price action has since corrected substantially from those levels.

The lack of fresh analyst commentary suggests market participants are waiting for clearer directional signals before committing to bold SUI price prediction scenarios. On-chain data platforms indicate increased volatility with the daily Average True Range (ATR) at $0.11, reflecting heightened uncertainty in the Sui ecosystem.

SUI Technical Analysis Breakdown

Sui's technical picture presents a compelling oversold setup. The RSI reading of 25.90 indicates SUI has entered deeply oversold territory, historically a zone where bounce attempts emerge. This represents the most oversold condition for SUI in recent weeks.

The MACD histogram at -0.0000 with both MACD (-0.1703) and signal line (-0.1703) in negative territory confirms bearish momentum, though the convergence suggests selling pressure may be exhausting. The Stochastic oscillator reinforces this view with %K at 16.38 and %D at 13.10, both well below the 20 threshold.

Bollinger Bands analysis reveals SUI trading near the lower band at $0.76, with the current position at 0.1550, indicating the token is testing significant support levels. The middle band (20-period SMA) at $1.18 represents the primary resistance target for any recovery attempt.

Moving average structure shows SUI trading below all major MAs, with the 7-period SMA at $0.95 providing the first resistance hurdle. The 50-period SMA at $1.45 and 200-period SMA at $2.42 highlight the significant distance from longer-term bull market levels.

Sui Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

The oversold RSI condition creates potential for a relief rally toward $0.95-$1.00, representing the 7-period SMA resistance. A successful reclaim of this level could trigger a Sui forecast targeting the 20-period SMA at $1.18, offering 32% upside from current levels.

The ultimate bullish target sits at the EMA 26 level of $1.21, where significant selling pressure previously emerged. Breaking above $1.21 would signal a potential trend reversal and open the path toward the 50-period SMA at $1.45, representing a 63% gain scenario.

Technical confirmation for the bull case requires RSI recovery above 30 and MACD histogram turning positive, indicating momentum shift.

Bearish Scenario

Failure to hold the $0.87 immediate support level could accelerate selling toward the strong support at $0.85. A break below this critical level would target the Bollinger Band lower boundary near $0.76, representing 15% downside risk.

The most bearish SUI price prediction scenario involves a breakdown below $0.76, which could trigger a deeper correction toward the $0.60-$0.65 range, aligning with previous significant support zones.

Risk factors include continued broad cryptocurrency market weakness and potential technical breakdown below the lower Bollinger Band, which historically precedes extended selling phases.

Should You Buy SUI? Entry Strategy

The current oversold condition presents a tactical buying opportunity for traders comfortable with high-risk positions. Optimal entry points include:

Conservative Entry: Wait for RSI recovery above 30 and price reclaim of $0.95 for confirmation of bounce sustainability.

Aggressive Entry: Current levels near $0.89 offer attractive risk-reward, with stop-loss placement below $0.85 to limit downside exposure.

Dollar-Cost Averaging: Scale into positions between $0.85-$0.90 range to capitalize on potential volatility while managing risk.

Risk management remains crucial given the bearish technical backdrop. Position sizing should reflect the high uncertainty, with stops placed below $0.85 for long positions.

Conclusion

This SUI price prediction analysis suggests a tactical bounce opportunity exists given extreme oversold conditions, though the broader trend remains bearish. The Sui forecast indicates potential for 15-35% gains if technical support at $0.85-$0.87 holds and RSI begins recovery.

However, traders should remain cautious as the moving average structure and MACD signal suggest underlying weakness persists. The probability favors a relief rally to $0.95-$1.20 over the next month, but sustained upside requires fundamental catalysts currently absent from the market.

Confidence Level: Medium (60%) for bounce to $1.00-$1.20 range within 30 days, contingent on support level maintenance.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions involve substantial risk. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.



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