TON Price Prediction: Targets $2.00-$2.40 by February Amid Oversold Recovery

Toncoin (TON) is trading at $1.54 as of January 24, 2026, showing signs of oversold conditions that could present a compelling opportunity for traders. With the cryptocurrency down 0.07% in the last 24 hours, technical analysis suggests potential for a meaningful recovery in the coming weeks.

TON Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $1.61-$1.70 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.00-$2.40 range • Bullish breakout level: $1.58 • Critical support: $1.50

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin

Recent analyst reports paint a cautiously optimistic picture for Toncoin's price trajectory. According to Blockchain.News analysis from January 23, 2026, "TON Price Prediction Summary: Short-term target (1 week): $1.61-$1.70; Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.00-$2.40 range."

Earlier this week, the same publication noted on January 19 that "Toncoin shows oversold conditions at $1.61 with technical indicators suggesting potential recovery toward $2.00-$2.40 range as RSI remains neutral and MACD shows bullish momentum."

The most recent Toncoin forecast from January 17 highlighted that "Toncoin trades at $1.71 with neutral RSI at 49.49. Recent analyst targets point to $2.40 potential, while technical indicators show mixed signals requiring breakout confirmation."

TON Technical Analysis Breakdown

The current technical setup for Toncoin reveals several key insights that support the bullish medium-term outlook:

RSI Analysis: At 38.29, Toncoin's RSI sits in neutral territory but closer to oversold conditions, suggesting selling pressure may be nearing exhaustion. This level historically presents buying opportunities for patient investors.

MACD Indicators: The MACD histogram shows 0.0000, indicating bearish momentum has stalled. With the MACD line at -0.0401 and signal line also at -0.0401, we're seeing potential for a bullish crossover that could trigger upward price movement.

Bollinger Band Position: TON's current position at 0.1552 within the Bollinger Bands places it very close to the lower band support at $1.46. The upper band sits at $1.95, suggesting significant upside potential if momentum shifts positive.

Moving Average Structure: The 7-day SMA at $1.56 provides immediate resistance, while the 20-day SMA at $1.71 represents the key medium-term hurdle. The 200-day SMA at $2.43 aligns with analyst targets for longer-term recovery.

Toncoin Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

In the bullish case for this TON price prediction, a break above the immediate resistance at $1.58 could trigger momentum toward the first target of $1.70. This would represent a 10% gain from current levels and align with the upper end of the short-term forecast range.

The primary bullish target remains the $2.00-$2.40 range, representing 30-56% upside potential. For this scenario to unfold, Toncoin would need to reclaim the 20-day SMA at $1.71 and sustain momentum above this crucial level.

Bearish Scenario

The bear case centers on a breakdown below the critical support at $1.50. Such a move would likely trigger further selling toward the lower Bollinger Band at $1.46, representing a 5-6% decline from current levels.

A more severe bearish scenario would see TON testing psychological support around $1.40, though current oversold conditions make this outcome less probable in the near term.

Should You Buy TON? Entry Strategy

Based on current technical levels, the optimal entry strategy involves waiting for either a confirmed bounce from current support levels or a breakout above $1.58 resistance.

Conservative traders should consider entering positions on any dip toward $1.50-$1.52, using the lower Bollinger Band at $1.46 as a stop-loss level. This provides a favorable risk-reward ratio targeting the $1.70-$2.00 range.

Aggressive traders might enter on a confirmed break above $1.58 with volume confirmation, targeting the same upside levels while using $1.52 as a stop-loss.

Position sizing should remain conservative given cryptocurrency volatility, with recommended allocation not exceeding 2-3% of portfolio value.

Conclusion

This Toncoin forecast suggests a measured optimism for TON's price trajectory over the next month. The convergence of oversold RSI conditions, stalled bearish momentum in MACD, and proximity to lower Bollinger Band support creates a compelling technical setup for recovery.

The $2.00-$2.40 target range represents a realistic medium-term objective, though investors should remain prepared for continued volatility. As with all cryptocurrency investments, this TON price prediction carries inherent risks, and traders should conduct their own research and implement appropriate risk management strategies.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and unpredictable. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions.