TON Price Prediction: Targets $2.00-$2.40 by February 2026 - Blockchain.News

TON Price Prediction: Targets $2.00-$2.40 by February 2026

Luisa Crawford Feb 04, 2026 08:10

Toncoin shows signs of recovery from oversold levels at $1.39, with analysts targeting $2.00-$2.40 by February 2026 despite current bearish momentum signals.

TON Price Prediction: Targets $2.00-$2.40 by February 2026

Toncoin (TON) is currently trading at $1.39, showing a modest 1.01% gain in the past 24 hours as the cryptocurrency attempts to recover from oversold conditions. With multiple technical indicators suggesting potential upside, analysts are eyeing a significant recovery target for February 2026.

TON Price Prediction Summary

Short-term target (1 week): $1.52-$1.60
Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.00-$2.40 range
Bullish breakout level: $1.60
Critical support: $1.35

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin

Several prominent analysts have recently weighed in on Toncoin's outlook, with consensus building around a February recovery scenario.

Iris Coleman noted on January 30, 2026: "Toncoin trades at $1.44 with oversold RSI at 32.92. Multiple analysts target $2.00-$2.40 recovery by February 2026 as TON approaches critical support levels."

James Ding provided similar analysis on February 2, 2026, stating: "Toncoin trades at $1.38 with oversold RSI at 32.87. Multiple analysts target $2.00-$2.40 recovery by February 2026 as TON approaches critical support levels."

Terrill Dicki offered a more detailed breakdown on January 29, 2026: "Short-term target (1 week): $1.52-$1.60; Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.00-$2.40 range; Bullish breakout level: $1.60; Critical support: $1.35."

The consistent $2.00-$2.40 target range from multiple analysts suggests growing confidence in Toncoin's recovery potential as February progresses.

TON Technical Analysis Breakdown

Current technical indicators present a mixed but potentially bullish picture for this TON price prediction. Trading at $1.39, Toncoin sits well below its moving averages, with the 20-day SMA at $1.51 and the 200-day SMA significantly higher at $2.34.

The RSI reading of 34.83 indicates neutral territory but leans toward oversold conditions, historically a favorable entry point for contrarian investors. The MACD histogram at 0.0000 shows bearish momentum has stalled, potentially signaling an upcoming reversal.

Bollinger Bands analysis reveals TON positioned at 0.23 between the bands, closer to the lower band at $1.29 than the upper band at $1.73. This positioning, combined with the current price near the lower band, suggests potential for mean reversion toward the middle band at $1.51.

Key resistance levels stand at $1.44 (immediate) and $1.48 (strong), while support is found at $1.34 (immediate) and $1.29 (strong). The daily ATR of $0.07 indicates moderate volatility, providing reasonable risk-reward ratios for position sizing.

Toncoin Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

In the optimistic case for this Toncoin forecast, a break above the immediate resistance at $1.44 could trigger momentum toward $1.48. A sustained move above $1.48 would target the 20-day SMA at $1.51, aligning with analysts' short-term targets of $1.52-$1.60.

The ultimate bullish target remains the $2.00-$2.40 range, which would require breaking above the 50-day SMA at $1.60. This level represents the critical breakout point identified by analysts and would likely generate significant buying momentum.

Technical confirmation for the bull case would include RSI moving above 50, MACD turning positive, and sustained trading above the Bollinger Band middle line at $1.51.

Bearish Scenario

The bearish case centers around a failure to hold the $1.34 immediate support level. A break below this level would expose the strong support at $1.29, coinciding with the Bollinger Band lower boundary.

Further downside could target the psychological $1.00 level if broader market conditions deteriorate. The significant gap between current price and the 200-day SMA at $2.34 highlights the long-term bearish trend that must be overcome.

Risk factors include continued bearish MACD momentum, failure to break above $1.44 resistance, and any broader cryptocurrency market weakness.

Should You Buy TON? Entry Strategy

Based on current technical levels, this TON price prediction suggests strategic entry points for different risk tolerances. Conservative investors might wait for a confirmed break above $1.44 before entering, targeting the $1.51-$1.60 range.

Aggressive traders could consider entries near current levels around $1.39, with tight stop-losses below $1.34 to limit downside exposure. The risk-reward ratio appears favorable given the $2.00+ upside targets.

Position sizing should account for the $0.07 daily ATR, allowing for normal price fluctuations without premature stop-out. A scaling approach, adding positions on strength above key resistance levels, may optimize entry timing.

Conclusion

This Toncoin forecast presents a cautiously optimistic outlook, with the $2.00-$2.40 February target representing 44-73% upside potential from current levels. The convergence of analyst predictions around this range, combined with oversold technical conditions, supports the bullish thesis.

However, investors should note that cryptocurrency price predictions carry inherent risks, and past performance doesn't guarantee future results. The significant distance from long-term moving averages suggests TON remains in a recovery phase rather than a confirmed uptrend.

The TON price prediction appears most compelling for medium-term holders willing to weather short-term volatility in pursuit of the February targets. As always, proper risk management and position sizing remain critical for successful cryptocurrency investing.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and you should conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

Image source: Shutterstock