SOL Price Prediction: Targets $120 Recovery by Mid-February as Oversold Conditions Signal Bounce
Peter Zhang Feb 01, 2026 14:29
Solana trades at $103.45 with RSI at oversold 27 levels. Technical analysis suggests $120 recovery possible within 2 weeks as support holds near $96.
SOL Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $117-$120
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $110-$140 range
• Bullish breakout level: $128 (SMA 20)
• Critical support: $96.32
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Solana
While specific analyst predictions are limited for the current timeframe, recent forecasts from earlier in January provide context for Solana's price trajectory. According to previous analysis from blockchain.news, analysts had projected SOL targets of $150-$162 during late January, though current market conditions have led to different outcomes.
Historical predictions from Rebeca Moen suggested resistance at $142 could unlock upside potential, while Darius Baruo forecasted $162 targets within three weeks. The CMC AI Forecast projected maximum trading values around $146.76 for January 2026. However, these bullish projections have not materialized as SOL currently trades significantly below these levels.
According to on-chain data and current market structure, the focus has shifted to technical support levels and oversold bounce potential rather than aggressive upside targets.
SOL Technical Analysis Breakdown
Solana's technical picture presents a mixed but potentially bullish setup for a short-term recovery. The daily RSI at 27.00 indicates severely oversold conditions, historically suggesting a bounce is likely. This oversold reading represents the most attractive entry opportunity SOL has presented in recent weeks.
The MACD histogram sits at 0.0000, showing bearish momentum has potentially exhausted itself. While the MACD line remains negative at -6.2375, the flattening histogram suggests selling pressure may be waning.
Bollinger Bands analysis reveals SOL trading near the lower band at $104.38, with the current price position at -0.02 indicating proximity to technical support. The middle band at $128.65 represents the key resistance level that would confirm a trend reversal.
Moving averages paint a bearish picture with SOL trading below all major timeframes. The 7-day SMA at $117.32 represents immediate resistance, followed by the critical 20-day SMA at $128.65. The 200-day SMA at $170.08 highlights the significant distance from long-term bullish territory.
Solana Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
The oversold RSI condition supports a recovery to the $117-$120 range, targeting the 7-day moving average. A successful bounce from current support at $96.32 could drive SOL toward the immediate resistance at $110.66, representing a 7% gain from current levels.
The strongest bullish case targets the 20-day SMA at $128.65, which would require breaking through multiple resistance zones. This Solana forecast would represent a 24% upside from current levels and would need confirmation from increased volume and RSI recovery above 50.
Technical confirmation for the bull case requires holding above $103.53 (pivot point) and breaking $117.87 (strong resistance) with volume.
Bearish Scenario
Failure to hold support at $96.32 opens the door to the strong support level at $89.19, representing a 14% downside risk. The bearish case gains momentum if SOL breaks below the recent low of $96.40 on increasing volume.
Extended bearish pressure could target the $80-$85 range, where longer-term support may emerge. The bear scenario is confirmed if RSI fails to recover from oversold levels and MACD continues showing negative momentum.
Should You Buy SOL? Entry Strategy
Current levels present an attractive risk-reward setup for SOL price prediction bulls. Consider dollar-cost averaging entries between $100-$105, with the strongest buy signal emerging on any dip toward $96.32 support.
Entry strategy should focus on the $103-$104 range with stop-loss placement below $95 to limit downside risk to approximately 8%. Target initial profit-taking at $117 (7-day SMA) and $128 (20-day SMA) for a favorable 2:1 risk-reward ratio.
Risk management is crucial given SOL's recent volatility, with the daily ATR of $7.41 indicating significant price swings. Position sizing should account for this volatility, and traders should avoid overleveraging in current market conditions.
Conclusion
This SOL price prediction suggests a tactical bounce opportunity as technical indicators align for a short-term recovery. The combination of oversold RSI, Bollinger Band support, and critical price levels creates a compelling setup for patient investors.
The most probable scenario sees SOL recovering to $117-$120 within the next two weeks, provided support holds above $96. The Solana forecast remains cautiously optimistic for February, though broader market conditions will ultimately determine the sustainability of any recovery.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions involve significant risk and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.
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